We are in the fall, but we know winter is coming.  The winters in the Texas Panhandle are moody.  So what can we expect?

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What is winter going to look like in the Texas Panhandle?

According to the National Weather Service, it looks like the weather in the Texas Panhandle will be normal.  Cold and mild temperatures for December January and February.

NOAA/National Weather Service
NOAA/National Weather Service

Will we see a lot of snow this winter?

The answer is not really, it looks like it will be a dry winter with not much precipitation. In fact, it looks like we will be below average in precipitation. This doesn't mean we won't see snow or rain, it's just a high probability we won't see another snowmageddon.

NOAA/National Weather Service
NOAA/National Weather Service

I reached out to our Chief Meteorologist John Harris with KAMR Local 4 and KCIT Fox 14 and ask him what his outlook is for the Texas Panhandle winter:

My weather projection for fall and winter:

KAMR Local 4
Chief Meteorologist John Harris/KAMR Local 4

Our relatively wet weather as of late, and the showers that we expect for this upcoming Sunday and Monday, are really more of an anomaly for this year. For any typical fall season across the Southwestern High Plains - we usually see dry weather. In fact, looking at 30 years' worth of data, our autumns are considered as the dry part of the year, and many times in the past, this weather pattern will carry over into the winter season. So, with this in mind, the end of this year (2022), and the winter of 2023, look to be dry. And to exacerbate this situation - we continue in our (3rd year in a row) of a La Nina Weather Pattern. What does a La Nina pattern mean for this part of the world? It means that a persistent ridge of high pressure will be parked over the Southwest United States, including the state of Texas. Under high pressure we see more days of sunshine and a constant lack of moisture, meaning rain and snow.

So, what does this lead to? It leads to continued various degrees of drought and an above-average wildfire season. The wildfire season can start as early as November, and last through early April. Also, arctic air masses can be colder when they arrive during the winter season.

Now in saying all of this - we still will have periods of rain and snow, but the amounts could very possibly be well below average.

In the end, only time will tell!

There you have it, the drought will continue through the winter.  Let's just hope we'll see a very wet spring.  We'll need it.

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